Weekly Forecast of Crude Oil (USOil.x)

Oil ignores the bearish API inventory report released yesterday and hit five-month highs a few minutes before press time.

OPEC’s output hit a four-year low in March. The Energy Information Administration is expected to show the US oil inventories dropped last week. 

US crude oil inventories unexpectedly rose by 3 million barrels last week, the American Petroleum Institute said on Tuesday. Oil prices, however, have shrugged off the bearish inventory report, and continue to cheer the OPEC-led supply cuts.

According to the analysis, USOil.x pair is expected to find support at 61.91, and a fall through could take it to the next support level of 61.21. The pair is expected to find its first resistance at 63.02, and a rise through could take it to the next resistance level of 63.43.

USOil.x previous day range was 11100 and current day range is 4300.

The Energy Information Administration (EIA) data due later today is expected to show the US crude inventories dropped 100,000 barrels last week. A bigger drawdown could end up pushing WTI higher to $63.59 (resistance of the June 2018 low as per the weekly chart).