Market analysis for 25th May 2021
A bullish trend for the EURUSD pair is expected with an optimal forecast of 1.2279 and with daily volatility of 0.47%. The successive gains in the pair are credited to the downbeat performance of the US dollar. The higher point for the pair was $1.2215 yesterday, giving a positive outlook for further gains. But today the pair is giving the narrow range of 1.2210-30 staying close to the February highs. On the hourly chart, EUR/USD is still trading above the MA line (200) H1 ($1.2165). The situation is similar to the four-hour chart.
Today, The pair is trading in the range of 1.4110-70, On the hourly chart, the pair is testing MA(200) H1 (1.4130) moving average line, but on the four-hour chart, it will be neutral. The main scenario for the pair’s promotion is the session high of 1.4170 and maybe can reach 1.4235. Looking out for the alternative scenario, if the support of 1.4080-1.4100 is broken, then the pair may fall to 1.4005.
Kiwi Dollar recently broke the trendline, which is now in focus following the overnight higher move. The pair also now against its 20-day SMA. If the pair manages to break back above trendline resistance, then we can see the new higher highs. Alternatively, a move lower would look for support at 61.8%. With the strong momentum, line favoring NZDUSD bulls, the quote’s run-up towards another trend line resistance, around 0.7255 becomes imminent. Though any upside needs to cross 0.7270 before challenging the monthly top near 0.7305.
Gold prices have held the multi-month bull flag resistance, which is increasing the confidence that a march back to all-time highs has begun. This boost in gold has been noticed after the weakness in US Treasury yields. The XAUUSD pair started the week on a firm footing and extended its technical buying pressure. Resistance of the pair may target 1902 giving the Fibonacci retracement level of 61.80%. Support is seen near the 200 SMA at 1845.